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2021/05/25- 分享人:馮 傑 秦南南
發布時間: 2021-05-25

題目♠️:Impact of increasing horizontal and vertical resolution during the HWRF hybrid EnVar data assimilation on the analysis and prediction of Hurricane Patricia (2015)

報告人🙎🏻:馮傑沐鸣2平台青年研究員

報告摘要🥩:Although numerous studies have demonstrated that increasing model spatial resolution in free forecasts can potentially improve tropical cyclone (TC) intensity forecasts, studies on the impact of model resolution during data assimilation (DA) on TC prediction are lacking.In this study, using the ensemble-variational DA system for Hurricane Weather Research and Forecasting (HWRF) model, we investigated the individual impact of increasing the model resolution of first guess (FG) and background ensemble (BE) forecasts during DA on initial analyses and subsequent forecasts of Hurricane Patricia (2015).The impacts were compared between horizontal and vertical resolutions and also between the tropical storm (TS) and hurricane assimilation during Patricia.

  

題目:Evolution of the Moat Associated with the Secondary Eyewall Formation in a Simulated Tropical Cyclone

報告人:秦南南,南京信息工程大學氣象學博士,導師張大林。美國馬裏蘭大學沐鸣2娱乐2年聯合培養博士🥝,1年博士後交流,交流導師為Da-Lin Zhang✍️。現沐鸣2平台大氣院博士後,合作導師吳立廣🪵。主要研究方向為臺風動力學。

報告摘要:Previous studies have focused on the formation and maintenance of spiral rainbands in the secondary eyewall formation (SEF) of tropical cyclones (TCs). In this study, a semi-idealized numerical experiment is conducted to understand the SEF by focusing on the evolution of the moat. It is found that the occurrence and subsequent evolution of the moat in the simulated TC are closely associated with the inner-eyewall structure. As the eyewall updraft becomes strong and the eyewall anvil is well developed, the upper-level inflow develops below the eyewall anvil in response to the diabatic warming in the eyewall anvil. The warming-induced inflow causes a drying effect and promotes the sublimation cooling below the anvil, inducing strong subsidence between the inner eyewall and the spiral rainband through the resulting negative buoyancy. Moreover, the resulting subsidence is enhanced by the compensated downward motion in the outer edge of the inner eyewall. Further analysis indicates that the rapidly decreasing vertical shear of environmental wind and the rapid filamentation zone outside the inner eyewall also play important role in the axisymmetrization of the rainband and the moat subsidence.


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